The duel projections for the course of the COVID-19 pandemic are expected to converge in a narrower range of estimates for this summer, but the longer-term outlook does not require coronavirus infections to go away quickly.
- The University of Washington Institute of Health Metrics and Assessment 145,728 deaths are currently predicted in the United States due to COVID-19 by August 4, which is higher than the 140,496 deaths predicted last week. Meanwhile projection by data scientist Youyang Gu anticipates 158,465 deaths in the United States by the same dateThat is below last week's estimate of 161,445. Both models have a wide range of uncertainties.
- According to Johns Hopkins University's COVID-19 dashboardThe current death toll in the United States is nearly 112,000, and more than 411,000 worldwide. Some epidemiologists fear that the relaxation of social distance standards and shutdowns, as well as the current wave of mass protests against racism, could trigger an upswing in COVID-19 cases.
- The IHME researchers found this Estimates of COVID-19 infections have gradually decreased nationwide, but that several states – including Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas and Wisconsin – report stagnant progress or an increasing number of infections. Regardless, the Institute for Disease Modeling says that COVID-19 is transmission decreasing in western Washington state, but increasing in eastern Washington.